NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 03, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 10 | 39 | 83.3% | 1 | 32.3 | 1 |
| 2 | Gavin Gray | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 2 | 25.8 | 5 |
| 2 | Andrew Moeller | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 2 | 27.7 | 4 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 2 | 28.2 | 2 |
| 5 | Andrew Batchelor | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 5 | 28.1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 5 | 24.3 | 7 |
| 5 | Karl Loiseau | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 5 | 24.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Dan Ellenberger | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 8 | Steve Creaser | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 21.7 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 12.6 | DAL | 0.62 |
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 10.6 | CAR | 0.8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 9.1 | NA | |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 12.8 | JAX | 0.69 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 7.6 | BAL | 0.36 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 7.3 | CHI | 0.7 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11.2 | LA | 0.64 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 8.6 | HOU | 0.57 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 6.0 | GB | 0.41 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 11.4 | PIT | 0.64 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 8.9 | NA | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 7.9 | TEN | 0.54 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 11.6 | MIN | 0.67 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 8.6 | PHI | 0.36 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 7.9 | KC | 0.33 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 9.7 | NA | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 9.4 | NA | |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 5.4 | NYJ | 0.57 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 11.1 | SF | 0.38 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 8.4 | LV | 0.59 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 4.8 | MIA | 0.17 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 12.0 | NYG | 0.83 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 7.0 | ARI | 0.61 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 4.4 | DET | 0.2 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 8.6 | BUF | 0.31 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 8.6 | NE | 0.45 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 4.8 | WAS | 0.3 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 8.2 | IND | 0.46 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 6.6 | NO | 0.55 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 6.9 | DEN | 0.43 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 16 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 19 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 21 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 26 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 9 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 23 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 1 | 10 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Draft Results
